Bahia
L
W
L
D
W
L
-
(xG) 1.26 - 1.28
Vasco DA Gama
W
D
L
W
L
W

Mathematical Predictions: Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.53% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Bahia team crest Bahia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bahia
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 3-2
29 Oct 26 vs Sao Paulo X U2.5 3-2
25 Oct 26 @ Santos 1 O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 vs Flamengo X U2.5 0-3
12 Oct 26 vs Mirassol 1 O2.5 1-0

Vasco DA Gama team crest Vasco DA Gama Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Vasco DA Gama
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Atletico Paranaense X U2.5 1-3
30 Oct 26 vs Flamengo 2 O2.5 1-4
24 Oct 26 vs Corinthians X O2.5 3-2
18 Oct 26 @ Sao Paulo 1 U2.5 1-0
10 Oct 26 vs Remo 1 O2.5 0-0

Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Bahia scored an average of 1.10 goals per match, compared to Vasco DA Gama 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bahia scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Vasco DA Gama scored 1.33 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.26 for Bahia and 1.28 for Vasco DA Gama. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.53%.

H2H - Bahia vs. Vasco DA Gama

09 Aug 26
Bahia
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Vasco DA Gama
12 Feb 26
Vasco DA Gama
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Bahia
23 Nov 25
Bahia
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Vasco DA Gama
22 Nov 25
Bahia
-
(HT -)
Vasco DA Gama
25 Sep 25
Vasco DA Gama
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Bahia
29 Oct 24
Vasco DA Gama
3 - 2
(HT 3-1)
Bahia
27 Jun 24
Bahia
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Vasco DA Gama
03 Sep 23
Bahia
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Vasco DA Gama

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bahia

09 Oct @ Palmeiras 1-0
L
12 Oct vs Mirassol 1-0
W
18 Oct vs Flamengo 0-3
L
25 Oct @ Santos 1-1
D
29 Oct vs Sao Paulo 3-2
W
06 Nov @ Cruzeiro 3-2
L

Away Crest Vasco DA Gama

08 Oct @ Botafogo 1-2
W
10 Oct vs remo 0-0
D
18 Oct @ Sao Paulo 1-0
L
24 Oct vs Corinthians 3-2
W
30 Oct vs Flamengo 1-4
L
04 Nov @ Atletico Paranaense 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.