Brazil Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza EC
W D W D D L
VS
xG 1.46 - 1.22
Atletico-MG
D W W L L L

Mathematical Predictions: Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 50.20% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fortaleza EC team crest Fortaleza EC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortaleza EC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Novorizontino X U2.5 2-1
02 Nov 26 vs Atletico Goianiense X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 @ Ponte Preta 2 U2.5 2-2
17 Oct 26 @ Sport Recife X U2.5 0-2
12 Oct 26 vs CRB X U2.5 2-2

Atletico-MG team crest Atletico-MG Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atletico-MG
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 @ Botafogo X U2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 0-1
27 Oct 26 @ Flamengo X U2.5 3-2
17 Oct 26 vs Coritiba 1 O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 vs Santos X U2.5 2-1

Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza EC scored an average of 1.38 goals per match, compared to Atletico-MG 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fortaleza EC scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Atletico-MG scored 1.00 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fortaleza EC vs Atletico-MG match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.46 for Fortaleza EC and 1.22 for Atletico-MG. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.20%.

H2H - Fortaleza EC vs. Atletico-MG

30 Nov 25
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Atletico-MG
22 Nov 25
Fortaleza EC
-
(HT -)
Atletico-MG
13 Nov 25
Atletico-MG
3 - 3
(HT 2-0)
Fortaleza EC
17 Oct 24
Fortaleza EC
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Atletico-MG
23 Jun 24
Atletico-MG
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Fortaleza EC
02 Nov 23
Atletico-MG
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Fortaleza EC
24 Jun 23
Fortaleza EC
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Atletico-MG
24 Oct 22
Fortaleza EC
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Atletico-MG

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fortaleza EC

08 Oct @ America Mineiro 0-1
W
12 Oct vs CRB 2-2
D
17 Oct @ Sport Recife 0-2
W
24 Oct @ Ponte Preta 2-2
D
02 Nov vs Atletico Goianiense 0-0
D
07 Nov @ Novorizontino 2-1
L

Away Crest Atletico-MG

09 Oct @ Atletico Paranaense 2-2
D
11 Oct vs Santos 2-1
W
17 Oct vs Coritiba 1-0
W
27 Oct @ Flamengo 3-2
L
29 Oct vs Cruzeiro 0-1
L
05 Nov @ Botafogo 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.