Brazil Serie A
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Fluminense
L L W L W W
VS
xG 2.00 - 0.93
Sao Paulo
L W W D L D

Mathematical Predictions: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.99% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fluminense team crest Fluminense Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fluminense
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Vitoria X U2.5 0-3
28 Oct 26 vs Internacional X U2.5 2-1
25 Oct 26 @ Chapecoense-sc 2 O2.5 2-1
18 Oct 26 vs Santos 1 U2.5 1-2
15 Oct 26 vs Palmeiras X U2.5 1-2

Sao Paulo team crest Sao Paulo Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sao Paulo
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 vs Corinthians 1 O2.5 0-0
29 Oct 26 @ Bahia X U2.5 3-2
24 Oct 26 @ Mirassol 1 U2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 vs Vasco DA Gama 1 U2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 vs Vitoria 1 U2.5 2-1

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Fluminense scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Sao Paulo 1.11 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fluminense scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.00, whereas Sao Paulo scored 0.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fluminense vs Sao Paulo match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.00 for Fluminense and 0.93 for Sao Paulo. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.99%.

H2H - Fluminense vs. Sao Paulo

17 May 26
Fluminense
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Sao Paulo
29 Nov 25
Fluminense
-
(HT -)
Sao Paulo
28 Nov 25
Fluminense
6 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Sao Paulo
27 Jul 25
Sao Paulo
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Fluminense
01 Sep 24
Fluminense
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Sao Paulo
14 May 24
Sao Paulo
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Fluminense
23 Nov 23
Fluminense
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sao Paulo
01 Jul 23
Sao Paulo
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fluminense

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fluminense

15 Oct vs Palmeiras 1-2
L
18 Oct vs Santos 1-2
L
22 Oct @ Palmeiras 0-1
W
25 Oct @ Chapecoense-sc 2-1
L
28 Oct vs Internacional 2-1
W
07 Nov @ Vitoria 0-3
W

Away Crest Sao Paulo

08 Oct @ Cruzeiro 2-0
L
11 Oct vs Vitoria 2-1
W
18 Oct vs Vasco DA Gama 1-0
W
24 Oct @ Mirassol 1-1
D
29 Oct @ Bahia 3-2
L
05 Nov vs Corinthians 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.