Brazil Serie A
Arena MRV
Atletico-MG
D W W L L L
VS
xG 1.20 - 2.31
Flamengo
D W D W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Atletico-MG vs Flamengo

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 68.12% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Atletico-MG team crest Atletico-MG Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atletico-MG
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 @ Botafogo X U2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 0-1
27 Oct 26 @ Flamengo X U2.5 3-2
17 Oct 26 vs Coritiba 1 O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 vs Santos X U2.5 2-1

Flamengo team crest Flamengo Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Flamengo
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 vs Gremio 1 U2.5 3-1
30 Oct 26 @ Vasco DA Gama 2 O2.5 1-4
27 Oct 26 vs Atletico-MG X U2.5 3-2
18 Oct 26 @ Bahia X U2.5 0-3
16 Oct 26 @ Estudiantes L.P. X U2.5 0-0

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Arena MRV
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Atletico-MG scored an average of 1.10 goals per match, compared to Flamengo 1.60 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Atletico-MG scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 0.67, whereas Flamengo scored 2.67 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Atletico-MG vs Flamengo match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.20 for Atletico-MG and 2.31 for Flamengo. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 68.12%.

H2H - Atletico-MG vs. Flamengo

27 Oct 26
Flamengo
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Atletico-MG
27 Apr 26
Atletico-MG
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Flamengo
29 Nov 25
Atletico-MG
-
(HT -)
Flamengo
26 Nov 25
Atletico-MG
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Flamengo
28 Jul 25
Flamengo
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Atletico-MG
14 Nov 24
Flamengo
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Atletico-MG
04 Jul 24
Atletico-MG
2 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Flamengo
29 Nov 23
Flamengo
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Atletico-MG

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Atletico-MG

09 Oct @ Atletico Paranaense 2-2
D
11 Oct vs Santos 2-1
W
17 Oct vs Coritiba 1-0
W
27 Oct @ Flamengo 3-2
L
29 Oct vs Cruzeiro 0-1
L
05 Nov @ Botafogo 1-0
L

Away Crest Flamengo

16 Oct @ Estudiantes L.P. 0-0
D
18 Oct @ Bahia 0-3
W
23 Oct vs Estudiantes L.P. 0-0
D
27 Oct vs Atletico-MG 3-2
W
30 Oct @ Vasco DA Gama 1-4
W
04 Nov vs Gremio 3-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.