Brazil Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
Gremio
D D L W W L
VS
xG 1.28 - 1.61
Palmeiras
W W L W D W

Mathematical Predictions: Gremio vs Palmeiras

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.15% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Gremio team crest Gremio Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gremio
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Flamengo 1 U2.5 3-1
30 Oct 26 vs Atletico Paranaense 1 O2.5 2-0
26 Oct 26 @ Coritiba 2 O2.5 0-1
18 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 2-4
11 Oct 26 vs Internacional 1 U2.5 1-1

Palmeiras team crest Palmeiras Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Palmeiras
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 vs Remo X U2.5 6-1
28 Oct 26 @ Santos X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 vs RB Bragantino 1 U2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 @ Atletico Paranaense X U2.5 0-2
15 Oct 26 @ Fluminense X U2.5 1-2

Gremio vs Palmeiras

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Gremio scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Palmeiras 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Gremio scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Palmeiras scored 0.83 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Gremio vs Palmeiras match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for Gremio and 1.61 for Palmeiras. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.15%.

H2H - Gremio vs. Palmeiras

20 Sep 26
Gremio
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Palmeiras
03 Apr 26
Palmeiras
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Gremio
29 Nov 25
Gremio
-
(HT -)
Palmeiras
26 Nov 25
Gremio
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Palmeiras
27 Jul 25
Palmeiras
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Gremio
09 Nov 24
Palmeiras
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Gremio
05 Jul 24
Gremio
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Palmeiras
22 Sep 23
Gremio
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Palmeiras

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Gremio

08 Oct @ remo 1-1
D
11 Oct vs Internacional 1-1
D
18 Oct vs Cruzeiro 2-4
L
26 Oct @ Coritiba 0-1
W
30 Oct vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0
W
04 Nov @ Flamengo 3-1
L

Away Crest Palmeiras

15 Oct @ Fluminense 1-2
W
18 Oct @ Atletico Paranaense 0-2
W
22 Oct vs Fluminense 0-1
L
24 Oct vs RB Bragantino 2-0
W
28 Oct @ Santos 0-0
D
05 Nov vs remo 6-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.