Brazil Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara
W L D L L L
VS
xG 1.06 - 1.72
Cruzeiro
W L W W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Ceara vs Cruzeiro

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.52% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Ceara team crest Ceara Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Ceara
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs America Mineiro 1 U2.5 0-1
02 Nov 26 @ Athletic Club X U2.5 2-1
28 Oct 26 vs Goias X U2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 vs Juventude X U2.5 2-2
13 Oct 26 @ Botafogo SP 2 O2.5 1-0

Cruzeiro team crest Cruzeiro Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Cruzeiro
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 vs Bahia 1 O2.5 3-2
29 Oct 26 @ Atletico-MG 1 O2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 vs Remo 1 U2.5 1-0
18 Oct 26 @ Gremio 1 O2.5 2-4
13 Oct 26 @ RB Bragantino X U2.5 4-2

Ceara vs Cruzeiro

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Ceara scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Cruzeiro 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ceara scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Cruzeiro scored 2.00 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Ceara vs Cruzeiro match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.06 for Ceara and 1.72 for Cruzeiro. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.52%.

H2H - Ceara vs. Cruzeiro

30 Nov 25
Ceara
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Cruzeiro
29 Nov 25
Ceara
-
(HT -)
Cruzeiro
27 Jul 25
Cruzeiro
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Ceara

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ceara

09 Oct vs Criciuma 1-0
W
13 Oct @ Botafogo SP 1-0
L
17 Oct vs Juventude 2-2
D
28 Oct vs Goias 0-2
L
02 Nov @ Athletic Club 2-1
L
08 Nov vs America Mineiro 0-1
L

Away Crest Cruzeiro

08 Oct vs Sao Paulo 2-0
W
13 Oct @ RB Bragantino 4-2
L
18 Oct @ Gremio 2-4
W
24 Oct vs remo 1-0
W
29 Oct @ Atletico-MG 0-1
W
06 Nov vs Bahia 3-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.