Brazil Serie A
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Flamengo
D W D W W W
VS
xG 2.03 - 0.67
Ceara
W L D L L L

Mathematical Predictions: Flamengo vs Ceara

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 50.50% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Flamengo team crest Flamengo Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Flamengo
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 vs Gremio 1 U2.5 3-1
30 Oct 26 @ Vasco DA Gama 2 O2.5 1-4
27 Oct 26 vs Atletico-MG X U2.5 3-2
18 Oct 26 @ Bahia X U2.5 0-3
16 Oct 26 @ Estudiantes L.P. X U2.5 0-0

Ceara team crest Ceara Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Ceara
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs America Mineiro 1 U2.5 0-1
02 Nov 26 @ Athletic Club X U2.5 2-1
28 Oct 26 vs Goias X U2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 vs Juventude X U2.5 2-2
13 Oct 26 @ Botafogo SP 2 O2.5 1-0

Flamengo vs Ceara

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Flamengo scored an average of 1.25 goals per match, compared to Ceara 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Flamengo scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.83, whereas Ceara scored 0.33 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Flamengo vs Ceara match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.03 for Flamengo and 0.67 for Ceara. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.50%.

H2H - Flamengo vs. Ceara

04 Dec 25
Flamengo
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Ceara
03 Dec 25
Flamengo
-
(HT -)
Ceara
03 Aug 25
Ceara
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Flamengo
04 Sep 22
Flamengo
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ceara
14 May 22
Ceara
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Flamengo

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Flamengo

16 Oct @ Estudiantes L.P. 0-0
D
18 Oct @ Bahia 0-3
W
23 Oct vs Estudiantes L.P. 0-0
D
27 Oct vs Atletico-MG 3-2
W
30 Oct @ Vasco DA Gama 1-4
W
04 Nov vs Gremio 3-1
W

Away Crest Ceara

09 Oct vs Criciuma 1-0
W
13 Oct @ Botafogo SP 1-0
L
17 Oct vs Juventude 2-2
D
28 Oct vs Goias 0-2
L
02 Nov @ Athletic Club 2-1
L
08 Nov vs America Mineiro 0-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.