Brazil Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
Gremio
D D L W W L
VS
xG 1.41 - 1.69
Fluminense
L L W L W W

Mathematical Predictions: Gremio vs Fluminense

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 59.88% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Gremio team crest Gremio Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gremio
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Flamengo 1 U2.5 3-1
30 Oct 26 vs Atletico Paranaense 1 O2.5 2-0
26 Oct 26 @ Coritiba 2 O2.5 0-1
18 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 2-4
11 Oct 26 vs Internacional 1 U2.5 1-1

Fluminense team crest Fluminense Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fluminense
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Vitoria X U2.5 0-3
28 Oct 26 vs Internacional X U2.5 2-1
25 Oct 26 @ Chapecoense-sc 2 O2.5 2-1
18 Oct 26 vs Santos 1 U2.5 1-2
15 Oct 26 vs Palmeiras X U2.5 1-2

Gremio vs Fluminense

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Gremio scored an average of 1.40 goals per match, compared to Fluminense 1.40 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Gremio scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Fluminense scored 1.83 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Gremio vs Fluminense match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.41 for Gremio and 1.69 for Fluminense. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 59.88%.

H2H - Gremio vs. Fluminense

26 Jul 26
Gremio
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fluminense
28 Jan 26
Fluminense
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Gremio
03 Dec 25
Gremio
-
(HT -)
Fluminense
03 Dec 25
Gremio
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Fluminense
03 Aug 25
Fluminense
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Gremio
02 Nov 24
Fluminense
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Gremio
21 Aug 24
Fluminense
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Gremio
14 Aug 24
Gremio
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fluminense

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Gremio

08 Oct @ remo 1-1
D
11 Oct vs Internacional 1-1
D
18 Oct vs Cruzeiro 2-4
L
26 Oct @ Coritiba 0-1
W
30 Oct vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0
W
04 Nov @ Flamengo 3-1
L

Away Crest Fluminense

15 Oct vs Palmeiras 1-2
L
18 Oct vs Santos 1-2
L
22 Oct @ Palmeiras 0-1
W
25 Oct @ Chapecoense-sc 2-1
L
28 Oct vs Internacional 2-1
W
07 Nov @ Vitoria 0-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.