Brazil Serie A
Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia
L W L D W L
VS
xG 1.14 - 0.47
Sport Recife
W D L W D L

Mathematical Predictions: Bahia vs Sport Recife

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 78.05% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Bahia team crest Bahia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bahia
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 3-2
29 Oct 26 vs Sao Paulo X U2.5 3-2
25 Oct 26 @ Santos 1 O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 vs Flamengo X U2.5 0-3
12 Oct 26 vs Mirassol 1 O2.5 1-0

Sport Recife team crest Sport Recife Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sport Recife
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Operario-PR X O2.5 3-2
31 Oct 26 @ Botafogo SP 2 O2.5 1-1
24 Oct 26 vs Criciuma X U2.5 2-1
17 Oct 26 vs Fortaleza EC X U2.5 0-2
11 Oct 26 @ Atletico Goianiense 1 O2.5 1-1

Bahia vs Sport Recife

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Bahia scored an average of 0.75 goals per match, compared to Sport Recife 0.25 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bahia scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Sport Recife scored 0.50 and conceded 2.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bahia vs Sport Recife match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.14 for Bahia and 0.47 for Sport Recife. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 78.05%.

H2H - Bahia vs. Sport Recife

04 Dec 25
Bahia
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Sport Recife
03 Dec 25
Bahia
-
(HT -)
Sport Recife
02 Aug 25
Sport Recife
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bahia
12 Sep 22
Sport Recife
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bahia
09 Jun 22
Bahia
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sport Recife

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bahia

09 Oct @ Palmeiras 1-0
L
12 Oct vs Mirassol 1-0
W
18 Oct vs Flamengo 0-3
L
25 Oct @ Santos 1-1
D
29 Oct vs Sao Paulo 3-2
W
06 Nov @ Cruzeiro 3-2
L

Away Crest Sport Recife

07 Oct vs São Bernardo 2-1
W
11 Oct @ Atletico Goianiense 1-1
D
17 Oct vs Fortaleza EC 0-2
L
24 Oct vs Criciuma 2-1
W
31 Oct @ Botafogo SP 1-1
D
06 Nov @ Operario-PR 3-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.