Brazil Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza EC
W D W D D L
VS
xG 1.33 - 0.93
Corinthians
L L D L W D

Mathematical Predictions: Fortaleza EC vs Corinthians

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 60.52% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fortaleza EC team crest Fortaleza EC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortaleza EC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Novorizontino X U2.5 2-1
02 Nov 26 vs Atletico Goianiense X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 @ Ponte Preta 2 U2.5 2-2
17 Oct 26 @ Sport Recife X U2.5 0-2
12 Oct 26 vs CRB X U2.5 2-2

Corinthians team crest Corinthians Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Corinthians
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 @ Sao Paulo 1 O2.5 0-0
31 Oct 26 vs Mirassol X U2.5 2-0
24 Oct 26 @ Vasco DA Gama X O2.5 3-2
20 Oct 26 vs Vitoria X U2.5 1-1
11 Oct 26 @ Palmeiras X U2.5 4-1

Fortaleza EC vs Corinthians

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza EC scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Corinthians 0.63 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fortaleza EC scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Corinthians scored 1.00 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fortaleza EC vs Corinthians match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.33 for Fortaleza EC and 0.93 for Corinthians. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.52%.

H2H - Fortaleza EC vs. Corinthians

03 Dec 25
Fortaleza EC
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Corinthians
03 Dec 25
Fortaleza EC
-
(HT -)
Corinthians
03 Aug 25
Corinthians
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Fortaleza EC
25 Aug 24
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Corinthians
05 May 24
Corinthians
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fortaleza EC
14 Sep 23
Fortaleza EC
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Corinthians
08 May 23
Corinthians
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Fortaleza EC
21 Aug 22
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Corinthians

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fortaleza EC

08 Oct @ America Mineiro 0-1
W
12 Oct vs CRB 2-2
D
17 Oct @ Sport Recife 0-2
W
24 Oct @ Ponte Preta 2-2
D
02 Nov vs Atletico Goianiense 0-0
D
07 Nov @ Novorizontino 2-1
L

Away Crest Corinthians

08 Oct @ Internacional 2-1
L
11 Oct @ Palmeiras 4-1
L
20 Oct vs Vitoria 1-1
D
24 Oct @ Vasco DA Gama 3-2
L
31 Oct vs Mirassol 2-0
W
05 Nov @ Sao Paulo 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.