Fluminense
L
L
W
L
W
W
-
(xG) 1.78 - 1.19
Bahia
L
W
L
D
W
L

Mathematical Predictions: Fluminense vs Bahia

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 56.83% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fluminense team crest Fluminense Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fluminense
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Vitoria X U2.5 0-3
28 Oct 26 vs Internacional X U2.5 2-1
25 Oct 26 @ Chapecoense-sc 2 O2.5 2-1
18 Oct 26 vs Santos 1 U2.5 1-2
15 Oct 26 vs Palmeiras X U2.5 1-2

Bahia team crest Bahia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bahia
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 3-2
29 Oct 26 vs Sao Paulo X U2.5 3-2
25 Oct 26 @ Santos 1 O2.5 1-1
18 Oct 26 vs Flamengo X U2.5 0-3
12 Oct 26 vs Mirassol 1 O2.5 1-0

Fluminense vs Bahia

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Fluminense scored an average of 1.33 goals per match, compared to Bahia 0.89 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fluminense scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.00, whereas Bahia scored 1.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fluminense vs Bahia match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.78 for Fluminense and 1.19 for Bahia. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.83%.

H2H - Fluminense vs. Bahia

30 Jul 26
Fluminense
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bahia
12 Jul 26
Fluminense
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bahia
05 Feb 26
Bahia
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Fluminense
07 Dec 25
Fluminense
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Bahia
07 Dec 25
Fluminense
-
(HT -)
Bahia
10 Aug 25
Bahia
3 - 3
(HT 2-1)
Fluminense
04 Aug 24
Fluminense
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Bahia
17 Apr 24
Bahia
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Fluminense

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fluminense

15 Oct vs Palmeiras 1-2
L
18 Oct vs Santos 1-2
L
22 Oct @ Palmeiras 0-1
W
25 Oct @ Chapecoense-sc 2-1
L
28 Oct vs Internacional 2-1
W
07 Nov @ Vitoria 0-3
W

Away Crest Bahia

09 Oct @ Palmeiras 1-0
L
12 Oct vs Mirassol 1-0
W
18 Oct vs Flamengo 0-3
L
25 Oct @ Santos 1-1
D
29 Oct vs Sao Paulo 3-2
W
06 Nov @ Cruzeiro 3-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.