Brazil Serie A
Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos
Botafogo
L D W L L W
VS
xG 1.58 - 1.57
Fortaleza EC
W D W D D L

Mathematical Predictions: Botafogo vs Fortaleza EC

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 61.05% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Botafogo team crest Botafogo Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Botafogo
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 vs Atletico-MG X U2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 @ Remo 1 U2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 @ Internacional X U2.5 3-0
17 Oct 26 vs Chapecoense-sc 1 O2.5 1-0
12 Oct 26 @ Coritiba X O2.5 1-1

Fortaleza EC team crest Fortaleza EC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortaleza EC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Novorizontino X U2.5 2-1
02 Nov 26 vs Atletico Goianiense X U2.5 0-0
24 Oct 26 @ Ponte Preta 2 U2.5 2-2
17 Oct 26 @ Sport Recife X U2.5 0-2
12 Oct 26 vs CRB X U2.5 2-2

Botafogo vs Fortaleza EC

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Botafogo scored an average of 2.75 goals per match, compared to Fortaleza EC 0.88 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Botafogo scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 0.83, whereas Fortaleza EC scored 1.83 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Botafogo vs Fortaleza EC match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Botafogo and 1.57 for Fortaleza EC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.05%.

H2H - Botafogo vs. Fortaleza EC

07 Dec 25
Botafogo
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Fortaleza EC
07 Dec 25
Botafogo
-
(HT -)
Fortaleza EC
10 Aug 25
Fortaleza EC
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
Botafogo
01 Sep 24
Botafogo
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fortaleza EC
12 May 24
Fortaleza EC
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Botafogo
23 Nov 23
Fortaleza EC
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Botafogo
11 Jun 23
Botafogo
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fortaleza EC
04 Sep 22
Fortaleza EC
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Botafogo

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Botafogo

08 Oct vs Vasco DA Gama 1-2
L
12 Oct @ Coritiba 1-1
D
17 Oct vs Chapecoense-sc 1-0
W
24 Oct @ Internacional 3-0
L
29 Oct @ remo 2-1
L
05 Nov vs Atletico-MG 1-0
W

Away Crest Fortaleza EC

08 Oct @ America Mineiro 0-1
W
12 Oct vs CRB 2-2
D
17 Oct @ Sport Recife 0-2
W
24 Oct @ Ponte Preta 2-2
D
02 Nov vs Atletico Goianiense 0-0
D
07 Nov @ Novorizontino 2-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.