Atletico-MG
D
W
W
L
L
L
-
(xG) 1.31 - 1.23
Vasco DA Gama
W
D
L
W
L
W

Mathematical Predictions: Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.33% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Atletico-MG team crest Atletico-MG Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atletico-MG
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
05 Nov 26 @ Botafogo X U2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 0-1
27 Oct 26 @ Flamengo X U2.5 3-2
17 Oct 26 vs Coritiba 1 O2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 vs Santos X U2.5 2-1

Vasco DA Gama team crest Vasco DA Gama Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Vasco DA Gama
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Atletico Paranaense X U2.5 1-3
30 Oct 26 vs Flamengo 2 O2.5 1-4
24 Oct 26 vs Corinthians X O2.5 3-2
18 Oct 26 @ Sao Paulo 1 U2.5 1-0
10 Oct 26 vs Remo 1 O2.5 0-0

Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Arena MRV
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Atletico-MG scored an average of 1.43 goals per match, compared to Vasco DA Gama 0.86 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Atletico-MG scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 0.67, whereas Vasco DA Gama scored 1.33 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.31 for Atletico-MG and 1.23 for Vasco DA Gama. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.33%.

H2H - Atletico-MG vs. Vasco DA Gama

29 Nov 26
Atletico-MG
-
(HT -)
Vasco DA Gama
31 May 26
Vasco DA Gama
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Atletico-MG
07 Dec 25
Atletico-MG
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Vasco DA Gama
07 Dec 25
Atletico-MG
-
(HT -)
Vasco DA Gama
10 Aug 25
Vasco DA Gama
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Atletico-MG
04 Dec 24
Vasco DA Gama
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Atletico-MG
21 Jul 24
Atletico-MG
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Vasco DA Gama
20 Aug 23
Vasco DA Gama
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Atletico-MG

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Atletico-MG

09 Oct @ Atletico Paranaense 2-2
D
11 Oct vs Santos 2-1
W
17 Oct vs Coritiba 1-0
W
27 Oct @ Flamengo 3-2
L
29 Oct vs Cruzeiro 0-1
L
05 Nov @ Botafogo 1-0
L

Away Crest Vasco DA Gama

08 Oct @ Botafogo 1-2
W
10 Oct vs remo 0-0
D
18 Oct @ Sao Paulo 1-0
L
24 Oct vs Corinthians 3-2
W
30 Oct vs Flamengo 1-4
L
04 Nov @ Atletico Paranaense 1-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.