Brazil Serie A
Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Sport Recife
W D L W D L
VS
xG 0.58 - 1.31
Gremio
D D L W W L

Mathematical Predictions: Sport Recife vs Gremio

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 70.67% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Sport Recife team crest Sport Recife Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sport Recife
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Operario-PR X O2.5 3-2
31 Oct 26 @ Botafogo SP 2 O2.5 1-1
24 Oct 26 vs Criciuma X U2.5 2-1
17 Oct 26 vs Fortaleza EC X U2.5 0-2
11 Oct 26 @ Atletico Goianiense 1 O2.5 1-1

Gremio team crest Gremio Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gremio
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
04 Nov 26 @ Flamengo 1 U2.5 3-1
30 Oct 26 vs Atletico Paranaense 1 O2.5 2-0
26 Oct 26 @ Coritiba 2 O2.5 0-1
18 Oct 26 vs Cruzeiro 1 O2.5 2-4
11 Oct 26 vs Internacional 1 U2.5 1-1

Sport Recife vs Gremio

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Sport Recife scored an average of 0.25 goals per match, compared to Gremio 1.75 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sport Recife scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 3.33, whereas Gremio scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sport Recife vs Gremio match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.58 for Sport Recife and 1.31 for Gremio. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.67%.

H2H - Sport Recife vs. Gremio

07 Dec 25
Sport Recife
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Gremio
07 Dec 25
Sport Recife
-
(HT -)
Gremio
11 Aug 25
Gremio
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Sport Recife
20 Sep 22
Gremio
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sport Recife
13 Jun 22
Sport Recife
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Gremio

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sport Recife

07 Oct vs São Bernardo 2-1
W
11 Oct @ Atletico Goianiense 1-1
D
17 Oct vs Fortaleza EC 0-2
L
24 Oct vs Criciuma 2-1
W
31 Oct @ Botafogo SP 1-1
D
06 Nov @ Operario-PR 3-2
L

Away Crest Gremio

08 Oct @ remo 1-1
D
11 Oct vs Internacional 1-1
D
18 Oct vs Cruzeiro 2-4
L
26 Oct @ Coritiba 0-1
W
30 Oct vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0
W
04 Nov @ Flamengo 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.