What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Corinthians

(xG) 1.49 - 1.10

Gremio

Mathematical Predictions: Corinthians vs Gremio

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 52.15% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Corinthians Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Corinthians
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
05 Nov 26	@ Sao Paulo	1	O2.5	0-0
31 Oct 26	vs Mirassol	X	U2.5	2-0
24 Oct 26	@ Vasco DA Gama	X	O2.5	3-2
20 Oct 26	vs Vitoria	X	U2.5	1-1
11 Oct 26	@ Palmeiras	X	U2.5	4-1

Gremio Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Gremio
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
04 Nov 26	@ Flamengo	1	U2.5	3-1
30 Oct 26	vs Atletico Paranaense	1	O2.5	2-0
26 Oct 26	@ Coritiba	2	O2.5	0-1
18 Oct 26	vs Cruzeiro	1	O2.5	2-4
11 Oct 26	vs Internacional	1	U2.5	1-1

Corinthians vs Gremio

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Brazil Serie A

2026-11-29T23:30:00

Neo Quimica Arena

In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Corinthians scored an average of 2.29 goals per match, compared to Gremio 1.14 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Corinthians scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Gremio scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Corinthians vs Gremio match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.49 for Corinthians and 1.10 for Gremio. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.15%.

H2H - Corinthians vs. Gremio

29 Nov 26

Corinthians

(HT -)

Gremio

30 May 26

Gremio

1 - 3

(HT 1-1)

Corinthians

02 Nov 25

Corinthians

2 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Gremio

13 Jun 25

Gremio

1 - 1

(HT 1-1)

Corinthians

08 Dec 24

Gremio

0 - 3

(HT 0-1)

Corinthians

26 Jul 24

Corinthians

2 - 2

(HT 1-1)

Gremio

12 Nov 23

Gremio

0 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Corinthians

19 Sep 23

Corinthians

4 - 4

(HT 3-2)

Gremio

Team Form (Last 6)

Corinthians

08 Oct @ Internacional 2-1

11 Oct @ Palmeiras 4-1

20 Oct vs Vitoria 1-1

24 Oct @ Vasco DA Gama 3-2

31 Oct vs Mirassol 2-0

05 Nov @ Sao Paulo 0-0

Gremio

08 Oct @ remo 1-1

11 Oct vs Internacional 1-1

18 Oct vs Cruzeiro 2-4

26 Oct @ Coritiba 0-1

30 Oct vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0

04 Nov @ Flamengo 3-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.