What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Vitoria

(xG) 1.00 - 1.44

Santos

Mathematical Predictions: Vitoria vs Santos

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 55.81% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Vitoria Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Vitoria
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	vs Fluminense	X	U2.5	0-3
31 Oct 26	@ Coritiba	2	O2.5	2-0
24 Oct 26	vs Atletico Paranaense	2	O2.5	1-1
20 Oct 26	@ Corinthians	X	U2.5	1-1
11 Oct 26	@ Sao Paulo	1	U2.5	2-1

Santos Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Santos
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
03 Nov 26	@ RB Bragantino	X	O2.5	2-1
28 Oct 26	vs Palmeiras	X	U2.5	0-0
25 Oct 26	vs Bahia	1	O2.5	1-1
18 Oct 26	@ Fluminense	1	U2.5	1-2
11 Oct 26	@ Atletico-MG	X	U2.5	2-1

Vitoria vs Santos

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Brazil Serie A

2026-11-29T21:00:00

Barradao

In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Vitoria scored an average of 0.67 goals per match, compared to Santos 1.33 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Vitoria scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.50, whereas Santos scored 1.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Vitoria vs Santos match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Vitoria and 1.44 for Santos. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.81%.

H2H - Vitoria vs. Santos

29 Nov 26

Vitoria

(HT -)

Santos

31 May 26

Santos

3 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Vitoria

21 Oct 25

Santos

0 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Vitoria

25 May 25

Vitoria

0 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Santos

Team Form (Last 6)

Vitoria

08 Oct vs Chapecoense-sc 4-0

11 Oct @ Sao Paulo 2-1

20 Oct @ Corinthians 1-1

24 Oct vs Atletico Paranaense 1-1

31 Oct @ Coritiba 2-0

07 Nov vs Fluminense 0-3

Santos

09 Oct vs Flamengo 2-2

11 Oct @ Atletico-MG 2-1

18 Oct @ Fluminense 1-2

25 Oct vs Bahia 1-1

28 Oct vs Palmeiras 0-0

03 Nov @ RB Bragantino 2-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.