Atletico Paranaense
D
W
L
D
L
L
-
(xG) 1.44 - 1.46
Sao Paulo
L
W
W
D
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.48% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
Ligga Arena
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Atletico Paranaense scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Sao Paulo 1.71 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Atletico Paranaense scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas Sao Paulo scored 0.67 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.44 for Atletico Paranaense and 1.46 for Sao Paulo. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.48%.

H2H - Atletico Paranaense vs. Sao Paulo

03-12-2026
Atletico Paranaense
-
(HT -)
Sao Paulo
23-07-2026
Sao Paulo
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Atletico Paranaense
10-11-2024
Sao Paulo
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Atletico Paranaense
04-07-2024
Atletico Paranaense
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Sao Paulo
29-10-2023
Atletico Paranaense
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Sao Paulo
21-06-2023
Sao Paulo
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Atletico Paranaense
31-07-2022
Atletico Paranaense
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Sao Paulo
10-04-2022
Sao Paulo
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Atletico Paranaense

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Atletico Paranaense

09.10 vs Atletico-MG 2-2
D
13.10 @ Chapecoense-sc 1-4
W
18.10 vs Palmeiras 0-2
L
24.10 @ Vitoria 1-1
D
30.10 @ Gremio 2-0
L
04.11 vs Vasco DA Gama 1-3
L

Away Crest Sao Paulo

08.10 @ Cruzeiro 2-0
L
11.10 vs Vitoria 2-1
W
18.10 vs Vasco DA Gama 1-0
W
24.10 @ Mirassol 1-1
D
29.10 @ Bahia 3-2
L
05.11 vs Corinthians 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.