Gremio
D
D
L
W
W
L
-
(xG) 1.17 - 1.50
Mirassol
D
L
W
D
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 50.18% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Gremio vs Mirassol

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Gremio scored an average of 0.67 goals per match, compared to Mirassol 2.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Gremio scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Mirassol scored 0.83 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Gremio vs Mirassol match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.17 for Gremio and 1.50 for Mirassol. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.18%.

H2H - Gremio vs. Mirassol

03-12-2026
Gremio
-
(HT -)
Mirassol
18-07-2026
Mirassol
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Gremio
13-09-2025
Gremio
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Mirassol
17-04-2025
Mirassol
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Gremio

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Gremio

08.10 @ remo 1-1
D
11.10 vs Internacional 1-1
D
18.10 vs Cruzeiro 2-4
L
26.10 @ Coritiba 0-1
W
30.10 vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0
W
04.11 @ Flamengo 3-1
L

Away Crest Mirassol

08.10 @ RB Bragantino 1-1
D
12.10 @ Bahia 1-0
L
17.10 vs Internacional 2-0
W
24.10 vs Sao Paulo 1-1
D
31.10 @ Corinthians 2-0
L
03.11 @ Chapecoense-sc 1-2
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.