Vasco DA Gama
W
D
L
W
L
W
-
(xG) 1.81 - 1.30
Vitoria
W
L
D
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.12% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Brazil Serie A
TBA
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco DA Gama scored an average of 1.60 goals per match, compared to Vitoria 1.40 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Vasco DA Gama scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.67, whereas Vitoria scored 0.83 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.81 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.30 for Vitoria. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.12%.

H2H - Vasco DA Gama vs. Vitoria

03-12-2026
Vasco DA Gama
-
(HT -)
Vitoria
17-07-2026
Vitoria
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Vasco DA Gama
05-10-2025
Vasco DA Gama
4 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Vitoria
10-05-2025
Vitoria
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Vasco DA Gama
01-09-2024
Vitoria
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Vasco DA Gama
12-05-2024
Vasco DA Gama
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Vitoria

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Vasco DA Gama

08.10 @ Botafogo 1-2
W
10.10 vs remo 0-0
D
18.10 @ Sao Paulo 1-0
L
24.10 vs Corinthians 3-2
W
30.10 vs Flamengo 1-4
L
04.11 @ Atletico Paranaense 1-3
W

Away Crest Vitoria

08.10 vs Chapecoense-sc 4-0
W
11.10 @ Sao Paulo 2-1
L
20.10 @ Corinthians 1-1
D
24.10 vs Atletico Paranaense 1-1
D
31.10 @ Coritiba 2-0
L
07.11 vs Fluminense 0-3
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.