Vila Nova
W
D
W
D
L
D
-
(xG) 1.10 - 0.79
Criciuma
W
L
W
W
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 70.82% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Vila Nova vs Criciuma

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova scored an average of 0.29 goals per match, compared to Criciuma 0.86 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Vila Nova scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 0.67, whereas Criciuma scored 0.83 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.10 for Vila Nova and 0.79 for Criciuma. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.82%.

H2H - Vila Nova vs. Criciuma

08-11-2026
Vila Nova
-
(HT -)
Criciuma
18-07-2026
Criciuma
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Vila Nova
03-10-2025
Vila Nova
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Criciuma
10-06-2025
Criciuma
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Vila Nova
23-08-2023
Criciuma
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Vila Nova
12-05-2023
Vila Nova
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Criciuma
04-10-2022
Vila Nova
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Criciuma
25-06-2022
Criciuma
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Vila Nova

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Vila Nova

03.10 @ Botafogo SP 0-1
W
08.10 vs Cuiaba 0-0
D
11.10 @ Nautico Recife 0-2
W
18.10 vs Novorizontino 2-2
D
24.10 @ São Bernardo 3-2
L
31.10 vs Juventude 2-2
D

Away Crest Criciuma

03.10 @ Londrina 0-2
W
09.10 @ Ceara 1-0
L
13.10 vs America Mineiro 1-0
W
18.10 @ São Bernardo 0-1
W
24.10 @ Sport Recife 2-1
L
30.10 vs Ponte Preta 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.