Cherno More Varna
L
D
D
L
W
W
0-2
(xG) 1.27 - 1.47
Levski Sofia
W
D
W
D
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.48% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Ticha
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Cherno More Varna scored an average of 0.75 goals per match, compared to Levski Sofia 1.13 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Cherno More Varna scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.00, whereas Levski Sofia scored 1.33 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.27 for Cherno More Varna and 1.47 for Levski Sofia. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.48%.

H2H - Cherno More Varna vs. Levski Sofia

03-04-2027
Levski Sofia
-
(HT -)
Cherno More Varna
11-10-2026
Cherno More Varna
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Levski Sofia
21-03-2026
Levski Sofia
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Cherno More Varna
19-10-2025
Cherno More Varna
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Levski Sofia
26-05-2025
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Levski Sofia
10-05-2025
Levski Sofia
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Cherno More Varna
13-04-2025
Levski Sofia
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Cherno More Varna
03-11-2024
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Levski Sofia
12-05-2024
Levski Sofia
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Cherno More Varna
13-04-2024
Cherno More Varna
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Levski Sofia
22-10-2023
Levski Sofia
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Cherno More Varna
26-05-2023
Levski Sofia
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Cherno More Varna
11-02-2023
Levski Sofia
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Cherno More Varna
02-11-2022
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Levski Sofia
06-05-2022
Cherno More Varna
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Levski Sofia
09-04-2022
Levski Sofia
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Cherno More Varna
30-10-2021
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Levski Sofia

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Cherno More Varna

06.09 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0
L
11.09 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 2-2
D
19.09 @ Arda Kardzhali 1-1
D
11.10 vs Levski Sofia 0-2
L
27.10 vs Septemvri Sofia 2-0
W
02.11 vs Botev Vratsa 1-0
W

Away Crest Levski Sofia

11.10 @ Cherno More Varna 0-2
W
15.10 @ NEC Nijmegen 1-1
D
22.10 @ Plzen 1-2
W
27.10 @ Arda Kardzhali 1-1
D
31.10 @ Dunav Ruse 0-1
W
05.11 vs Jagiellonia 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.