Ludogorets
D
W
W
W
L
W
5-0
(xG) 1.75 - 0.92
Arda Kardzhali
L
L
D
L
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 50.16% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Huvepharma Arena
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets scored an average of 2.46 goals per match, compared to Arda Kardzhali 0.85 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ludogorets scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Arda Kardzhali scored 1.00 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.75 for Ludogorets and 0.92 for Arda Kardzhali. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.16%.

H2H - Ludogorets vs. Arda Kardzhali

03-04-2027
Arda Kardzhali
-
(HT -)
Ludogorets
12-10-2026
Ludogorets
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Arda Kardzhali
15-04-2026
Arda Kardzhali
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Ludogorets
09-11-2025
Ludogorets
2 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Arda Kardzhali
26-05-2025
Ludogorets
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Arda Kardzhali
09-05-2025
Arda Kardzhali
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Ludogorets
04-12-2024
Arda Kardzhali
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Ludogorets
03-08-2024
Ludogorets
5 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Arda Kardzhali
15-04-2024
Ludogorets
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Arda Kardzhali
22-10-2023
Arda Kardzhali
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ludogorets
14-04-2023
Arda Kardzhali
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Ludogorets
18-09-2022
Ludogorets
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Arda Kardzhali
13-02-2022
Arda Kardzhali
0 - 4
(HT 0-4)
Ludogorets
02-12-2021
Ludogorets
4 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Arda Kardzhali

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ludogorets

30.08 @ Spartak Varna 1-1
D
06.09 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1-2
W
14.09 vs Septemvri Sofia 2-1
W
12.10 vs Arda Kardzhali 5-0
W
26.10 @ CSKA Sofia 2-0
L
31.10 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-3
W

Away Crest Arda Kardzhali

04.09 vs Botev Plovdiv 2-3
L
12.09 @ CSKA Sofia 4-1
L
19.09 vs Cherno More Varna 1-1
D
12.10 @ Ludogorets 5-0
L
27.10 vs Levski Sofia 1-1
D
02.11 vs Septemvri Sofia 2-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.