What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Tranmere

2-2

(xG) 0.92 - 1.17

Rochdale

Mathematical Predictions: Tranmere vs Rochdale

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 65.41% Lost

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Tranmere Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Tranmere
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	@ Barnet	1	U2.5	3-0
31 Oct 26	vs Cheltenham	1	O2.5	3-1
24 Oct 26	@ Crawley Town	2	O2.5	1-1
20 Oct 26	@ Northampton	X	U2.5	0-1
17 Oct 26	vs Barnet	2	U2.5	1-2

Rochdale Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Rochdale
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
31 Oct 26	@ Port Vale	X	U2.5	4-2
24 Oct 26	vs Accrington ST	1	U2.5	0-5
20 Oct 26	vs Grimsby	1	U2.5	2-2
17 Oct 26	@ Crewe	1	U2.5	3-2
10 Oct 26	@ Tranmere	1	O2.5	1-1

Tranmere vs Rochdale

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

England League Cup

2026-08-01T18:00:00

Prenton Park

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Tranmere scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Rochdale 1.50 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Tranmere scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 1.33, whereas Rochdale scored 1.00 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Tranmere vs Rochdale match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.92 for Tranmere and 1.17 for Rochdale. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.41%.

H2H - Tranmere vs. Rochdale

10 Oct 26

Tranmere

1 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Rochdale

01 Aug 26

Tranmere

2 - 2

(HT 1-1)

Rochdale

Team Form (Last 6)

Tranmere

10 Oct vs Rochdale 1-1

17 Oct vs Barnet 1-2

20 Oct @ Northampton 0-1

24 Oct @ Crawley Town 1-1

31 Oct vs Cheltenham 3-1

07 Nov @ Barnet 3-0

Rochdale

10 Oct @ Tranmere 1-1

17 Oct @ Crewe 3-2

20 Oct vs Grimsby 2-2

24 Oct vs Accrington ST 0-5

31 Oct @ Port Vale 4-2

07 Nov @ Fleetwood Town 1-1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.