Stoke City
W
L
W
D
W
W
1-1
(xG) 1.07 - 1.16
Hull City
D
L
D
L
D
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 61.53% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

Stoke City vs Hull City

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England League Cup
Bet365 Stadium
In their previous 21 head-to-head matches, Stoke City scored an average of 1.52 goals per match, compared to Hull City 0.81 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Stoke City scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Hull City scored 1.50 and conceded 0.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Stoke City vs Hull City match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.07 for Stoke City and 1.16 for Hull City. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 61.53%.

H2H - Stoke City vs. Hull City

25-08-2026
Stoke City
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Hull City
01-01-2026
Hull City
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Stoke City
29-11-2025
Stoke City
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Hull City
01-02-2025
Hull City
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Stoke City
20-09-2024
Stoke City
1 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Hull City
29-03-2024
Hull City
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Stoke City
24-09-2023
Stoke City
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Hull City
11-02-2023
Stoke City
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Hull City
13-09-2022
Hull City
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Stoke City
16-01-2022
Hull City
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Stoke City
25-09-2021
Stoke City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Hull City
07-03-2020
Stoke City
5 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Hull City
07-12-2019
Hull City
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Stoke City
02-02-2019
Hull City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Stoke City
25-08-2018
Stoke City
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Hull City
15-04-2017
Stoke City
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Hull City
22-10-2016
Hull City
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Stoke City
28-02-2015
Stoke City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Hull City
24-08-2014
Hull City
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Stoke City
29-03-2014
Stoke City
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Hull City
14-12-2013
Hull City
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Stoke City

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Stoke City

10.10 @ Bolton 1-2
W
13.10 vs Middlesbrough 2-3
L
17.10 @ Derby 0-1
W
24.10 vs Bristol City 0-0
D
31.10 vs Preston 2-0
W
03.11 @ Blackburn 1-2
W

Away Crest Hull City

12.09 @ Chelsea 2-2
D
19.09 @ Newcastle 2-1
L
11.10 vs Everton 2-2
D
17.10 @ Fulham 1-0
L
25.10 vs Brentford 1-1
D
31.10 vs Ipswich 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.