England League Cup
The Den
Millwall
L D L W L L
0 - 1
xG 1.58 - 1.00
Newcastle
L L W L L D

Mathematical Predictions: Millwall vs Newcastle

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.26% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Millwall team crest Millwall Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Millwall
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ West Brom X U2.5 3-0
03 Nov 26 @ Birmingham 1 O2.5 3-0
31 Oct 26 vs Derby X U2.5 4-1
24 Oct 26 @ Portsmouth X O2.5 2-1
17 Oct 26 vs Lincoln X U2.5 2-2

Newcastle team crest Newcastle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Newcastle
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Fulham X O2.5 1-1
02 Nov 26 vs Everton 2 O2.5 0-1
29 Oct 26 @ Everton X U2.5 3-1
25 Oct 26 @ Crystal Palace 1 O2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 vs Aston Villa 1 O2.5 0-1

Millwall vs Newcastle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England League Cup
The Den
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Millwall scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Newcastle 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Millwall scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Newcastle scored 1.17 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Millwall vs Newcastle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Millwall and 1.00 for Newcastle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.26%.

H2H - Millwall vs. Newcastle

08 Sep 26
Millwall
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Newcastle

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Millwall

13 Oct vs Swansea 0-1
L
17 Oct vs Lincoln 2-2
D
24 Oct @ Portsmouth 2-1
L
31 Oct vs Derby 4-1
W
03 Nov @ Birmingham 3-0
L
07 Nov @ West Brom 3-0
L

Away Crest Newcastle

12 Oct @ Coventry 4-1
L
17 Oct vs Aston Villa 0-1
L
25 Oct @ Crystal Palace 0-2
W
29 Oct @ Everton 3-1
L
02 Nov vs Everton 0-1
L
07 Nov @ Fulham 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.