England League Cup
Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry
W W L L W L
1 - 3
xG 2.08 - 1.42
Aston Villa
W W L D L D

Mathematical Predictions: Coventry vs Aston Villa

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 67.92% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Coventry team crest Coventry Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Coventry
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Everton 1 U2.5 3-1
31 Oct 26 vs Sunderland 1 O2.5 3-1
24 Oct 26 vs Fulham 1 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 @ Tottenham 1 O2.5 3-1
12 Oct 26 vs Newcastle X O2.5 4-1

Aston Villa team crest Aston Villa Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Aston Villa
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Manchester United 1 O2.5 4-4
03 Nov 26 @ Barcelona 1 O2.5 3-0
31 Oct 26 vs Fulham 1 O2.5 1-1
28 Oct 26 @ Bournemouth 1 O2.5 3-0
24 Oct 26 vs Manchester City 2 O2.5 2-1

Coventry vs Aston Villa

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
England League Cup
Coventry Building Society Arena
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Coventry scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Aston Villa 3.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Coventry scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.50, whereas Aston Villa scored 1.33 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Coventry vs Aston Villa match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.08 for Coventry and 1.42 for Aston Villa. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.92%.

H2H - Coventry vs. Aston Villa

13 Dec 26
Coventry
-
(HT -)
Aston Villa
16 Sep 26
Coventry
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Aston Villa

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Coventry

19 Sep @ Nottingham Forest 0-1
W
12 Oct vs Newcastle 4-1
W
19 Oct @ Tottenham 3-1
L
24 Oct vs Fulham 0-1
L
31 Oct vs Sunderland 3-1
W
06 Nov @ Everton 3-1
L

Away Crest Aston Villa

21 Oct vs Viking 3-1
W
24 Oct vs Manchester City 2-1
W
28 Oct @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
31 Oct vs Fulham 1-1
D
03 Nov @ Barcelona 3-0
L
08 Nov @ Manchester United 4-4
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.