FC St. Pauli
W
D
W
D
D
L
-
(xG) 1.17 - 1.39
Hertha BSC
W
W
D
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.02% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

FC St. Pauli vs Hertha BSC

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Millerntor-Stadion
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, FC St. Pauli scored an average of 1.33 goals per match, compared to Hertha BSC 0.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC St. Pauli scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.33, whereas Hertha BSC scored 2.50 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC St. Pauli vs Hertha BSC match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.17 for FC St. Pauli and 1.39 for Hertha BSC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.02%.

H2H - FC St. Pauli vs. Hertha BSC

16-05-2027
Hertha BSC
-
(HT -)
FC St. Pauli
19-12-2026
FC St. Pauli
-
(HT -)
Hertha BSC
19-03-2025
Hertha BSC
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC St. Pauli
10-03-2024
FC St. Pauli
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Hertha Berlin
30-09-2023
Hertha Berlin
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
FC St. Pauli

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC St. Pauli

12.09 vs VfL Wolfsburg 1-0
W
20.09 @ Energie Cottbus 1-1
D
11.10 vs Karlsruher SC 2-0
W
17.10 @ Hannover 96 1-1
D
23.10 @ SV Darmstadt 98 0-0
D
01.11 vs FC Nurnberg 1-3
L

Away Crest Hertha BSC

19.09 @ Dynamo Dresden 1-2
W
11.10 vs SpVgg Greuther Furth 2-1
W
16.10 @ Holstein Kiel 0-0
D
24.10 vs Arminia Bielefeld 1-0
W
28.10 @ SSV Jeddeloh 0-2
W
31.10 @ FC Kaiserslautern 0-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.