Germany DFB Pokal
Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Dortmund
W W W D W W
3 - 2
xG 1.99 - 1.46
Werder Bremen
D D W L W L

Mathematical Predictions: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 67.02% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Borussia Dortmund team crest Borussia Dortmund Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Borussia Dortmund
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs SV Elversberg 1 O2.5 2-1
04 Nov 26 vs Real Betis 1 O2.5 2-1
31 Oct 26 @ Bayern München 1 O2.5 2-2
27 Oct 26 vs Werder Bremen 1 O2.5 3-2
24 Oct 26 vs Eintracht Frankfurt X O2.5 1-0

Werder Bremen team crest Werder Bremen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Werder Bremen
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ VfB Stuttgart X O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs 1899 Hoffenheim X O2.5 2-0
27 Oct 26 @ Borussia Dortmund 1 O2.5 3-2
24 Oct 26 @ FSV Mainz 05 X O2.5 2-3
17 Oct 26 vs SC Paderborn 07 1 O2.5 2-2

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Germany DFB Pokal
Signal Iduna Park
In their previous 32 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund scored an average of 2.16 goals per match, compared to Werder Bremen 1.09 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Borussia Dortmund scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Werder Bremen scored 2.33 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.99 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.46 for Werder Bremen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.02%.

H2H - Borussia Dortmund vs. Werder Bremen

27 Oct 26
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
(HT 2-0)
Werder Bremen
09 Oct 26
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Werder Bremen
16 May 26
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Borussia Dortmund
13 Jan 26
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Werder Bremen
25 Jan 25
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Werder Bremen
31 Aug 24
Werder Bremen
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Borussia Dortmund
09 Mar 24
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Borussia Dortmund
20 Oct 23
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Werder Bremen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Borussia Dortmund

20 Oct @ Sabah FA 1-2
W
24 Oct vs Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
W
27 Oct vs Werder Bremen 3-2
W
31 Oct @ Bayern Munich 2-2
D
04 Nov vs Real Betis 2-1
W
07 Nov vs SV Elversberg 2-1
W

Away Crest Werder Bremen

09 Oct @ Borussia Dortmund 2-2
D
17 Oct vs SC Paderborn 07 2-2
D
24 Oct @ FSV Mainz 05 2-3
W
27 Oct @ Borussia Dortmund 3-2
L
31 Oct vs 1899 Hoffenheim 2-0
W
07 Nov @ VfB Stuttgart 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.