Germany DFB Pokal
RheinEnergieStadion
1. FC Köln
W L D W D L
5 - 0
xG 1.83 - 1.30
Union Berlin
W D D L D L

Mathematical Predictions: 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 60.67% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

1. FC Köln team crest 1. FC Köln Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for 1. FC Köln
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Bayer Leverkusen X O2.5 1-2
01 Nov 26 @ Union Berlin X O2.5 1-1
27 Oct 26 vs Union Berlin 1 O2.5 5-0
24 Oct 26 vs FC Schalke 04 X O2.5 0-0
16 Oct 26 @ Eintracht Frankfurt X O2.5 1-0

Union Berlin team crest Union Berlin Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Union Berlin
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ SC Freiburg 1 O2.5 2-0
01 Nov 26 vs 1. FC Köln X O2.5 1-1
27 Oct 26 @ 1. FC Köln 1 O2.5 5-0
24 Oct 26 @ FC Augsburg 1 O2.5 1-1
17 Oct 26 vs Borussia Dortmund 2 O2.5 0-0

1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Germany DFB Pokal
RheinEnergieStadion
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, 1. FC Köln scored an average of 1.14 goals per match, compared to Union Berlin 1.43 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, 1. FC Köln scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.17, whereas Union Berlin scored 1.17 and conceded 3.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.83 for 1. FC Köln and 1.30 for Union Berlin. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.67%.

H2H - 1. FC Köln vs. Union Berlin

06 Mar 27
1. FC Köln
-
(HT -)
Union Berlin
01 Nov 26
Union Berlin
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
1. FC Köln
27 Oct 26
1. FC Köln
5 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Union Berlin
02 May 26
Union Berlin
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
1. FC Köln
20 Dec 25
1. FC Köln
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Union Berlin
11 May 24
1.FC Köln
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Union Berlin
20 Dec 23
Union Berlin
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
1.FC Köln
04 Mar 23
Union Berlin
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
1.FC Köln

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest 1. FC Köln

11 Oct vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1
W
16 Oct @ Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
L
24 Oct vs FC Schalke 04 0-0
D
27 Oct vs Union Berlin 5-0
W
01 Nov @ Union Berlin 1-1
D
08 Nov vs Bayer Leverkusen 1-2
L

Away Crest Union Berlin

10 Oct vs SV Elversberg 1-0
W
17 Oct vs Borussia Dortmund 0-0
D
24 Oct @ FC Augsburg 1-1
D
27 Oct @ 1.FC Köln 5-0
L
01 Nov vs 1.FC Köln 1-1
D
08 Nov @ SC Freiburg 2-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.