Germany DFB Pokal
BayArena
Bayer Leverkusen
W L W L L W
5 - 2
xG 1.79 - 1.18
1. FC Nürnberg
D D L L W W

Mathematical Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 56.93% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Bayer Leverkusen team crest Bayer Leverkusen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Bayer Leverkusen
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ 1. FC Köln X O2.5 1-2
05 Nov 26 vs Marseille 1 O2.5 0-1
31 Oct 26 vs VfB Stuttgart 1 O2.5 2-4
28 Oct 26 vs 1. FC Nürnberg 1 O2.5 5-2
25 Oct 26 @ 1899 Hoffenheim X O2.5 3-0

1. FC Nürnberg team crest 1. FC Nürnberg Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for 1. FC Nürnberg
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs SV Darmstadt 98 1 O2.5 2-0
01 Nov 26 @ FC St. Pauli X O2.5 1-3
28 Oct 26 @ Bayer Leverkusen 1 O2.5 5-2
24 Oct 26 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1 O2.5 0-1
16 Oct 26 @ Energie Cottbus 2 O2.5 1-1

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Germany DFB Pokal
BayArena
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Bayer Leverkusen scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to 1. FC Nürnberg 0.82 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Bayer Leverkusen scored an average of 2.33 and conceded 1.00, whereas 1. FC Nürnberg scored 1.83 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.79 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.18 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.93%.

H2H - Bayer Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

28 Oct 26
Bayer Leverkusen
5 - 2
(HT 1-2)
1. FC Nürnberg
20 Apr 19
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Nurnberg
03 Dec 18
FC Nurnberg
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Bayer Leverkusen
20 Apr 14
FC Nurnberg
1 - 4
(HT 1-1)
Bayer Leverkusen
30 Nov 13
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Nurnberg
04 May 13
FC Nurnberg
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Bayer Leverkusen
01 Dec 12
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
FC Nurnberg
05 May 12
FC Nurnberg
1 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Bayer Leverkusen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Bayer Leverkusen

22 Oct @ OFI 0-2
W
25 Oct @ 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0
L
28 Oct vs FC Nurnberg 5-2
W
31 Oct vs VfB Stuttgart 2-4
L
05 Nov vs Marseille 0-1
L
08 Nov @ 1.FC Köln 1-2
W

Away Crest 1. FC Nürnberg

10 Oct vs VfL Wolfsburg 4-4
D
16 Oct @ Energie Cottbus 1-1
D
24 Oct vs FC Kaiserslautern 0-1
L
28 Oct @ Bayer Leverkusen 5-2
L
01 Nov @ FC St. Pauli 1-3
W
07 Nov vs SV Darmstadt 98 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.