Monza
W
L
W
L
L
L
-
(xG) 1.50 - 1.89
AC Milan
W
L
W
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 65.81% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Monza vs AC Milan

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 6 head-to-head matches, Monza scored an average of 0.83 goals per match, compared to AC Milan 2.17 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Monza scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 1.83, whereas AC Milan scored 1.67 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Monza vs AC Milan match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.50 for Monza and 1.89 for AC Milan. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.81%.

H2H - Monza vs. AC Milan

04-04-2027
AC Milan
-
(HT -)
Monza
03-01-2027
Monza
-
(HT -)
AC Milan
02-12-2026
Monza
-
(HT -)
AC Milan
24-05-2025
AC Milan
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Monza
02-11-2024
Monza
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
AC Milan
18-02-2024
Monza
4 - 2
(HT 2-0)
AC Milan
17-12-2023
AC Milan
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Monza
18-02-2023
Monza
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
AC Milan
22-10-2022
AC Milan
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Monza

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Monza

18.09 vs Sassuolo 2-1
W
11.10 @ Lazio 3-1
L
19.10 vs Cagliari 4-0
W
23.10 @ Torino 3-2
L
28.10 vs Napoli 1-4
L
31.10 @ Bologna 2-1
L

Away Crest AC Milan

18.10 vs Atalanta 3-2
W
22.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
25.10 @ Udinese 0-2
W
28.10 vs Bologna 2-4
L
31.10 vs Inter 3-1
W
05.11 vs Ferencvarosi TC 0-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.