AC Milan
L
W
L
W
L
W
-
(xG) 2.00 - 1.33
Monza
L
W
L
L
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 64.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

AC Milan vs Monza

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
TBA
In their previous 6 head-to-head matches, AC Milan scored an average of 2.17 goals per match, compared to Monza 0.83 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, AC Milan scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 1.83, whereas Monza scored 1.33 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in AC Milan vs Monza match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.00 for AC Milan and 1.33 for Monza. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.72%.

H2H - AC Milan vs. Monza

04-04-2027
AC Milan
-
(HT -)
Monza
13-01-2027
AC Milan
-
(HT -)
Monza
03-01-2027
Monza
-
(HT -)
AC Milan
24-05-2025
AC Milan
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Monza
02-11-2024
Monza
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
AC Milan
18-02-2024
Monza
4 - 2
(HT 2-0)
AC Milan
17-12-2023
AC Milan
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Monza
18-02-2023
Monza
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
AC Milan
22-10-2022
AC Milan
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Monza

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest AC Milan

22.10 @ Bournemouth 3-0
L
25.10 @ Udinese 0-2
W
28.10 vs Bologna 2-4
L
31.10 vs Inter 3-1
W
05.11 vs Ferencvarosi TC 0-2
L
08.11 @ Genoa 1-2
W

Away Crest Monza

11.10 @ Lazio 3-1
L
19.10 vs Cagliari 4-0
W
23.10 @ Torino 3-2
L
28.10 vs Napoli 1-4
L
31.10 @ Bologna 2-1
L
08.11 vs Atalanta 0-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.