What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Fortuna Sittard

(xG) 1.58 - 2.53

Twente

Mathematical Predictions: Fortuna Sittard vs Twente

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 77.77% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Away Win

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Fortuna Sittard Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fortuna Sittard
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
07 Nov 26	vs Telstar	X	O2.5	2-2
31 Oct 26	@ Feyenoord	1	O2.5	1-1
25 Oct 26	vs Excelsior	X	O2.5	1-0
18 Oct 26	@ NEC Nijmegen	X	O2.5	2-2
10 Oct 26	vs Twente	2	O2.5	1-1

Twente Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Twente
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
08 Nov 26	vs Ajax	2	O2.5	2-2
05 Nov 26	vs Pafos	1	U2.5	3-1
01 Nov 26	@ Excelsior	2	O2.5	0-9
25 Oct 26	@ AZ Alkmaar	X	O2.5	0-2
22 Oct 26	@ Lincoln Red Imps FC	2	O2.5	1-4

Fortuna Sittard vs Twente

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands KNVB Beker

2026-12-02T22:00:00

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 1.07 goals per match, compared to Twente 1.93 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 3.00, whereas Twente scored 2.83 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fortuna Sittard vs Twente match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.58 for Fortuna Sittard and 2.53 for Twente. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 77.77%.

H2H - Fortuna Sittard vs. Twente

02 Dec 26

Fortuna Sittard

(HT -)

Twente

10 Oct 26

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 1

(HT 1-1)

Twente

21 Mar 26

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 2

(HT 1-0)

Twente

26 Sep 25

Twente

3 - 2

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

05 Apr 25

Twente

1 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Fortuna Sittard

23 Nov 24

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 2

(HT 0-1)

Twente

06 Apr 24

Twente

2 - 0

(HT 0-0)

Fortuna Sittard

08 Oct 23

Fortuna Sittard

0 - 3

(HT 0-1)

Twente

Team Form (Last 6)

Fortuna Sittard

10 Oct vs Twente 1-1

18 Oct @ NEC Nijmegen 2-2

25 Oct vs Excelsior 1-0

28 Oct @ Sparta Rotterdam 2-2

31 Oct @ Feyenoord 1-1

07 Nov vs Telstar 2-2

Twente

18 Oct vs Utrecht 1-2

22 Oct @ Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-4

25 Oct @ AZ Alkmaar 0-2

01 Nov @ Excelsior 0-9

05 Nov vs Pafos 3-1

08 Nov vs Ajax 2-2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.