What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Hoek

(xG) 2.13 - 1.96

AZ Alkmaar

Mathematical Predictions: Hoek vs AZ Alkmaar

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 77.39% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Hoek Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Hoek
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
29 Oct 26	vs Sparta Nijkerk	1	O2.5	4-2
15 Jul 26	vs NAC Breda	1	O2.5	1-2

AZ Alkmaar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for AZ Alkmaar
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
08 Nov 26	vs Groningen	X	O2.5	4-3
05 Nov 26	vs Juventus	1	U2.5	1-2
31 Oct 26	@ Ajax	X	O2.5	1-0
25 Oct 26	vs Twente	X	O2.5	0-2
22 Oct 26	@ Ararat-Armenia	X	O2.5	0-4

Hoek vs AZ Alkmaar

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands KNVB Beker

2026-12-16T21:00:00

Sportpark Denoek

In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Hoek scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to AZ Alkmaar 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Hoek scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 2.17, whereas AZ Alkmaar scored 1.75 and conceded 1.75.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Hoek vs AZ Alkmaar match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.13 for Hoek and 1.96 for AZ Alkmaar. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 77.39%.

H2H - Hoek vs. AZ Alkmaar

16 Dec 26

Hoek

(HT -)

AZ Alkmaar

Team Form (Last 6)

Hoek

03 Sep vs Rijnvogels 6-4

23 Sep vs Blauw Geel 1-0

29 Oct vs FC Eindhoven 2-2

16 Dec vs Telstar 1-4

15 Jul vs NAC Breda 1-2

29 Oct vs Sparta Nijkerk 4-2

AZ Alkmaar

18 Oct @ Cambuur 2-2

22 Oct @ Ararat-Armenia 0-4

25 Oct vs Twente 0-2

31 Oct @ Ajax 1-0

05 Nov vs Juventus 1-2

08 Nov vs Groningen 4-3

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.