What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Excelsior '31

(xG) 2.08 - 1.75

NEC Nijmegen

Mathematical Predictions: Excelsior '31 vs NEC Nijmegen

TOTAL GOALS

Over 2.5

Probability 73.64% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Excelsior '31 Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Excelsior '31
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
22 Sep 26	vs AFC '34	X	U2.5	4-3
01 Sep 26	@ Harkemase Boys	1	U2.5	0-1

NEC Nijmegen Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for NEC Nijmegen
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
08 Nov 26	@ Utrecht	X	O2.5	2-3
05 Nov 26	vs Omonia Nicosia	X	U2.5	3-1
31 Oct 26	@ Heerenveen	1	O2.5	1-0
25 Oct 26	vs Groningen	X	O2.5	2-2
22 Oct 26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	O2.5	2-4

Excelsior '31 vs NEC Nijmegen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Netherlands KNVB Beker

2026-12-17T19:45:00

TBA

In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Excelsior '31 scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to NEC Nijmegen 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Excelsior '31 scored an average of 2.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas NEC Nijmegen scored 1.50 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Excelsior '31 vs NEC Nijmegen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.08 for Excelsior '31 and 1.75 for NEC Nijmegen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 73.64%.

H2H - Excelsior '31 vs. NEC Nijmegen

17 Dec 26

Excelsior '31

(HT -)

NEC Nijmegen

Team Form (Last 6)

Excelsior '31

09 Aug @ HHC 5-1

02 Sep @ Emmen 2-2

23 Sep @ Eemdijk 2-1

01 Sep @ Harkemase Boys 0-1

22 Sep vs AFC '34 4-3

27 Oct vs ADO Den Haag 1-1

NEC Nijmegen

18 Oct vs Fortuna Sittard 2-2

22 Oct @ Dinamo Zagreb 2-4

25 Oct vs Groningen 2-2

31 Oct @ Heerenveen 1-0

05 Nov vs Omonia Nicosia 3-1

08 Nov @ Utrecht 2-3

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.