Norway Eliteserien
Sarpsborg Stadion
Sarpsborg 08 FF
L W L W L L
2 - 1
xG 2.06 - 1.78
Aalesund
W L W L L L

Mathematical Predictions: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 73.65% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Sarpsborg 08 FF team crest Sarpsborg 08 FF Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sarpsborg 08 FF
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Ham-Kam 2 O2.5 3-0
01 Nov 26 vs Kristiansund BK 1 O2.5 2-4
25 Oct 26 vs Aalesund X O2.5 2-1
18 Oct 26 vs Rosenborg X O2.5 0-3
11 Oct 26 @ Aalesund X O2.5 2-4

Aalesund team crest Aalesund Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Aalesund
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Lillestrom X O2.5 3-2
31 Oct 26 vs Sandefjord 2 O2.5 3-4
25 Oct 26 @ Sarpsborg 08 FF X O2.5 2-1
17 Oct 26 @ Kristiansund BK 2 O2.5 1-4
11 Oct 26 vs Sarpsborg 08 FF X O2.5 2-4

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Norway Eliteserien
Sarpsborg Stadion
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF scored an average of 2.75 goals per match, compared to Aalesund 1.75 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.67, whereas Aalesund scored 1.67 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.06 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 1.78 for Aalesund. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 73.65%.

H2H - Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Aalesund

25 Oct 26
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aalesund
11 Oct 26
Aalesund
2 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22 Oct 23
Aalesund
3 - 2
(HT 2-2)
Sarpsborg 08 FF
29 May 23
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Aalesund

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Sarpsborg 08 FF

18 Sep vs KFUM Oslo 1-3
L
11 Oct @ Aalesund 2-4
W
18 Oct vs Rosenborg 0-3
L
25 Oct vs Aalesund 2-1
W
01 Nov vs Kristiansund BK 2-4
L
08 Nov @ Ham-Kam 3-0
L

Away Crest Aalesund

19 Sep @ Molde 1-2
W
11 Oct vs Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-4
L
17 Oct @ Kristiansund BK 1-4
W
25 Oct @ Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1
L
31 Oct vs Sandefjord 3-4
L
08 Nov @ Lillestrom 3-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.