What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Ostersunds FK

(xG) 1.92 - 0.33

Varbergs BoIS FC

Mathematical Predictions

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 60.93% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Home Win

Pending

Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

Sweden Allsvenskan

2026-11-21T14:00:00

Jamtkraft Arena

In their previous 0 head-to-head matches, Ostersunds FK scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Varbergs BoIS FC 0.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Ostersunds FK scored an average of 0.00 and conceded 0.00, whereas Varbergs BoIS FC scored 0.67 and conceded 3.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.92 for Ostersunds FK and 0.33 for Varbergs BoIS FC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.93%.

H2H - Ostersunds FK vs. Varbergs BoIS FC

28-11-2026

Varbergs BoIS FC

(HT -)

Ostersunds FK

21-11-2026

Ostersunds FK

(HT -)

Varbergs BoIS FC

Team Form (Last 6)

Ostersunds FK

07.02 vs Stjørdals-Blink 2-1

15.02 vs GIF Sundsvall 1-2

15.03 @ Vasteras SK FK 3-0

21.03 vs Umeå FC 0-1

28.03 @ Ranheim 0-0

11.07 vs Orebro SK 2-4

Varbergs BoIS FC

14.02 vs Angelholms FF 1-0

10.03 @ Gais 1-2

14.03 vs ljungSKile SK 0-2

21.03 vs Jonkopings Sodra 1-0

28.03 @ Hässleholms IF 0-1

11.07 vs Norrby IF 4-2

Ostersunds FK (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches

Historical match predictions and actual results for Ostersunds FK
Date	Fixture	1X2 Forecast	O/U 2.5 Forecast	Final Score
11.07.2026	vs Orebro SK	Draw	Under 2.5	2 - 4

Varbergs BoIS FC (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches

Historical match predictions and actual results for Varbergs BoIS FC
Date	Fixture	1X2 Forecast	O/U 2.5 Forecast	Final Score
11.07.2026	vs Norrby IF	Home Win	Under 2.5	4 - 2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.