USA Major League Soccer
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta United FC
W L L L W L
3 - 1
xG 1.65 - 1.72
Toronto FC
D W L W L L

Mathematical Predictions: Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 65.40% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Atlanta United FC team crest Atlanta United FC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atlanta United FC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ New York Red Bulls X O2.5 3-0
01 Nov 26 vs Toronto FC X O2.5 3-1
29 Oct 26 @ New York City FC 2 O2.5 2-1
25 Oct 26 vs Chicago Fire X O2.5 2-3
18 Oct 26 vs Inter Miami X O2.5 1-3

Toronto FC team crest Toronto FC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Toronto FC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Philadelphia Union 1 O2.5 4-1
01 Nov 26 @ Atlanta United FC X O2.5 3-1
29 Oct 26 vs DC United X O2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 @ Columbus Crew 1 O2.5 4-2
18 Oct 26 @ New York Red Bulls 1 O2.5 0-2

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
USA Major League Soccer
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United FC scored an average of 1.60 goals per match, compared to Toronto FC 1.30 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Atlanta United FC scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 2.67, whereas Toronto FC scored 1.17 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.65 for Atlanta United FC and 1.72 for Toronto FC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.40%.

H2H - Atlanta United FC vs. Toronto FC

01 Nov 26
Atlanta United FC
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Toronto FC
25 Apr 26
Toronto FC
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Atlanta United FC
24 Aug 25
Atlanta United FC
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Toronto FC
13 Jul 25
Toronto FC
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Atlanta United FC
30 Jun 24
Atlanta United FC
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Toronto FC
24 Mar 24
Toronto FC
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Atlanta United FC
15 Apr 23
Toronto FC
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Atlanta United FC
05 Mar 23
Atlanta United FC
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Toronto FC

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Atlanta United FC

15 Oct @ Montreal Impact 0-3
W
18 Oct vs Inter Miami 1-3
L
25 Oct vs Chicago Fire 2-3
L
29 Oct @ New York City FC 2-1
L
01 Nov vs Toronto FC 3-1
W
07 Nov @ New York Red Bulls 3-0
L

Away Crest Toronto FC

15 Oct vs Orlando City SC 3-3
D
18 Oct @ New York Red Bulls 0-2
W
24 Oct @ Columbus Crew 4-2
L
29 Oct vs DC United 2-1
W
01 Nov @ Atlanta United FC 3-1
L
07 Nov @ Philadelphia Union 4-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.