USA Major League Soccer
Subaru Park
Philadelphia Union
W D L D L W
4 - 1
xG 2.35 - 1.24
Toronto FC
D W L W L L

Mathematical Predictions: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 69.63% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Philadelphia Union team crest Philadelphia Union Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Philadelphia Union
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Toronto FC 1 O2.5 4-1
31 Oct 26 @ FC Cincinnati 2 O2.5 1-0
29 Oct 26 @ Nashville SC X O2.5 0-0
25 Oct 26 vs New England Revolution 1 O2.5 1-2
17 Oct 26 vs Charlotte X O2.5 2-2

Toronto FC team crest Toronto FC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Toronto FC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Philadelphia Union 1 O2.5 4-1
01 Nov 26 @ Atlanta United FC X O2.5 3-1
29 Oct 26 vs DC United X O2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 @ Columbus Crew 1 O2.5 4-2
18 Oct 26 @ New York Red Bulls 1 O2.5 0-2

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
USA Major League Soccer
Subaru Park
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia Union scored an average of 2.10 goals per match, compared to Toronto FC 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Philadelphia Union scored an average of 2.67 and conceded 1.17, whereas Toronto FC scored 1.00 and conceded 2.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.35 for Philadelphia Union and 1.24 for Toronto FC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.63%.

H2H - Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC

07 Nov 26
Philadelphia Union
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Toronto FC
23 Apr 26
Toronto FC
3 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Philadelphia Union
10 Aug 25
Philadelphia Union
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Toronto FC
29 May 25
Toronto FC
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Philadelphia Union
14 Jul 24
Toronto FC
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Philadelphia Union
30 May 24
Philadelphia Union
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Toronto FC
30 Aug 23
Toronto FC
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Philadelphia Union
22 Apr 23
Philadelphia Union
4 - 2
(HT 3-0)
Toronto FC

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Philadelphia Union

15 Oct @ Chicago Fire 1-3
W
17 Oct vs Charlotte 2-2
D
25 Oct vs New England Revolution 1-2
L
29 Oct @ Nashville SC 0-0
D
31 Oct @ FC Cincinnati 1-0
L
07 Nov vs Toronto FC 4-1
W

Away Crest Toronto FC

15 Oct vs Orlando City SC 3-3
D
18 Oct @ New York Red Bulls 0-2
W
24 Oct @ Columbus Crew 4-2
L
29 Oct vs DC United 2-1
W
01 Nov @ Atlanta United FC 3-1
L
07 Nov @ Philadelphia Union 4-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.