USA Major League Soccer
Red Bull Arena
New York Red Bulls
L L W L L W
3 - 0
xG 1.26 - 1.46
Atlanta United FC
W L L L W L

Mathematical Predictions: New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 50.91% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

New York Red Bulls team crest New York Red Bulls Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for New York Red Bulls
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Atlanta United FC X O2.5 3-0
01 Nov 26 @ Nashville SC X U2.5 3-2
29 Oct 26 @ New England Revolution X U2.5 3-2
24 Oct 26 vs Inter Miami 2 O2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 vs Toronto FC 1 O2.5 0-2

Atlanta United FC team crest Atlanta United FC Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Atlanta United FC
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ New York Red Bulls X O2.5 3-0
01 Nov 26 vs Toronto FC X O2.5 3-1
29 Oct 26 @ New York City FC 2 O2.5 2-1
25 Oct 26 vs Chicago Fire X O2.5 2-3
18 Oct 26 vs Inter Miami X O2.5 1-3

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
USA Major League Soccer
Red Bull Arena
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls scored an average of 1.73 goals per match, compared to Atlanta United FC 1.09 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, New York Red Bulls scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.67, whereas Atlanta United FC scored 1.50 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.26 for New York Red Bulls and 1.46 for Atlanta United FC. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.91%.

H2H - New York Red Bulls vs. Atlanta United FC

07 Nov 26
New York Red Bulls
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Atlanta United FC
16 Aug 26
Atlanta United FC
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
New York Red Bulls
11 Feb 26
Atlanta United FC
3 - 2
(HT 2-0)
New York Red Bulls
01 Jun 25
New York Red Bulls
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Atlanta United FC
09 Mar 25
Atlanta United FC
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
New York Red Bulls
06 Oct 24
Atlanta United FC
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
New York Red Bulls
22 Sep 24
New York Red Bulls
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Atlanta United FC
24 Jun 23
New York Red Bulls
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Atlanta United FC

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest New York Red Bulls

15 Oct @ DC United 2-1
L
18 Oct vs Toronto FC 0-2
L
24 Oct vs Inter Miami 2-0
W
29 Oct @ New England Revolution 3-2
L
01 Nov @ Nashville SC 3-2
L
07 Nov vs Atlanta United FC 3-0
W

Away Crest Atlanta United FC

15 Oct @ Montreal Impact 0-3
W
18 Oct vs Inter Miami 1-3
L
25 Oct vs Chicago Fire 2-3
L
29 Oct @ New York City FC 2-1
L
01 Nov vs Toronto FC 3-1
W
07 Nov @ New York Red Bulls 3-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.