Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Deportes Tolima
W W L D L L
0 - 1
xG 1.61 - 0.78
Independiente del Valle
W W W W L D

Mathematical Predictions: Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 57.26% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Deportes Tolima team crest Deportes Tolima Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Deportes Tolima
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
26 Aug 26 @ Independiente del Valle 1 U2.5 3-1
19 Aug 26 vs Independiente del Valle 1 U2.5 0-1

Independiente del Valle team crest Independiente del Valle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Independiente del Valle
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
18 Sep 26 @ Flamengo 1 O2.5 1-1
11 Sep 26 vs Flamengo X O2.5 0-2
26 Aug 26 vs Deportes Tolima 1 U2.5 3-1
19 Aug 26 @ Deportes Tolima 1 U2.5 0-1

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Independiente del Valle 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Deportes Tolima scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 0.33, whereas Independiente del Valle scored 1.00 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.61 for Deportes Tolima and 0.78 for Independiente del Valle. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.26%.

H2H - Deportes Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle

26 Aug 26
Independiente del Valle
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Deportes Tolima
19 Aug 26
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Independiente del Valle
05 May 22
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Independiente del Valle
14 Apr 22
Independiente del Valle
2 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Deportes Tolima

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Deportes Tolima

29 Apr vs Coquimbo Unido 3-0
W
07 May vs Club Nacional 3-0
W
20 May @ Coquimbo Unido 3-0
L
27 May @ Universitario 0-0
D
19 Aug vs Independiente del Valle 0-1
L
26 Aug @ Independiente del Valle 3-1
L

Away Crest Independiente del Valle

20 May vs Libertad Asuncion 4-1
W
28 May vs Rosario Central 1-0
W
19 Aug @ Deportes Tolima 0-1
W
26 Aug vs Deportes Tolima 3-1
W
11 Sep vs Flamengo 0-2
L
18 Sep @ Flamengo 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.