Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Independiente del Valle
W W W W L D
3 - 1
xG 1.50 - 1.00
Deportes Tolima
W W L D L L

Mathematical Predictions: Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.38% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Independiente del Valle team crest Independiente del Valle Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Independiente del Valle
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
18 Sep 26 @ Flamengo 1 O2.5 1-1
11 Sep 26 vs Flamengo X O2.5 0-2
26 Aug 26 vs Deportes Tolima 1 U2.5 3-1
19 Aug 26 @ Deportes Tolima 1 U2.5 0-1

Deportes Tolima team crest Deportes Tolima Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Deportes Tolima
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
26 Aug 26 @ Independiente del Valle 1 U2.5 3-1
19 Aug 26 vs Independiente del Valle 1 U2.5 0-1

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente del Valle scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Deportes Tolima 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Independiente del Valle scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.17, whereas Deportes Tolima scored 0.33 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.50 for Independiente del Valle and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.38%.

H2H - Independiente del Valle vs. Deportes Tolima

26 Aug 26
Independiente del Valle
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Deportes Tolima
19 Aug 26
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Independiente del Valle
05 May 22
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Independiente del Valle
14 Apr 22
Independiente del Valle
2 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Deportes Tolima

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Independiente del Valle

20 May vs Libertad Asuncion 4-1
W
28 May vs Rosario Central 1-0
W
19 Aug @ Deportes Tolima 0-1
W
26 Aug vs Deportes Tolima 3-1
W
11 Sep vs Flamengo 0-2
L
18 Sep @ Flamengo 1-1
D

Away Crest Deportes Tolima

29 Apr vs Coquimbo Unido 3-0
W
07 May vs Club Nacional 3-0
W
20 May @ Coquimbo Unido 3-0
L
27 May @ Universitario 0-0
D
19 Aug vs Independiente del Valle 0-1
L
26 Aug @ Independiente del Valle 3-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.