Football Prediction: Independiente vs River Plate | Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente vs River Plate

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América

0.78
L L D D W W

SCHEDULED -

0.67

D W W L D W

Kick Off: 09-08-2025 23:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Independiente and River Plate face each other in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match on Saturday 9th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Independiente have scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded average of 1.32 goals while River Plate scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.02 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Independiente vs River Plate is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 82.18%

Head to Head Record - Independiente vs. River Plate

Date	Competition	Match
09-08-2025	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025	Independiente	- (HT -)	River Plate
09-02-2025	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025	River Plate	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Independiente
01-09-2024	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2024	Independiente	0-0 (HT 0-0)	River Plate
23-04-2023	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2023	River Plate	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Independiente

Competition		Date
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		09-08-2025
Independiente	- (HT -)	River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		09-02-2025
River Plate	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		01-09-2024
Independiente	0-0 (HT 0-0)	River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		23-04-2023
River Plate	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Independiente