Wednesday 30th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Independiente vs River Plate

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América

This is Logo of Home Team: Independiente 0.78
L L D D W W
SCHEDULED -
0.67 This is Logo of Away Team: River Plate
D W W L D W
Kick Off: 09-08-2025 23:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Independiente and River Plate face each other in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match on Saturday 9th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Independiente have scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded average of 1.32 goals while River Plate scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.02 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Independiente vs River Plate is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 82.18%

Head to Head Record - Independiente vs. River Plate

Date Competition Match
09-08-2025 Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025 Independiente - (HT -) River Plate
09-02-2025 Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025 River Plate 2-0 (HT 0-0) Independiente
01-09-2024 Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2024 Independiente 0-0 (HT 0-0) River Plate
23-04-2023 Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2023 River Plate 2-0 (HT 1-0) Independiente
Competition Date
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 09-08-2025
Independiente - (HT -) River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 09-02-2025
River Plate 2-0 (HT 0-0) Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 01-09-2024
Independiente 0-0 (HT 0-0) River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 23-04-2023
River Plate 2-0 (HT 1-0) Independiente