River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Mâs Monumental

1.52
L L L W W D

SCHEDULED -

0.51

L W W L D W

Kick Off: 12-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and Home WIN

River Plate and Sarmiento Junin face each other in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match on Sunday 12th of October 2025. The two teams have met 3 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches River Plate have scored an average of 2.02 goals and conceded average of 2.02 goals while Sarmiento Junin scored 0.59 goals and conceded 1.21 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for River Plate vs Sarmiento Junin is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.86%

Head to Head Record - River Plate vs. Sarmiento Junin

Date	Competition	Match
12-10-2025	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025	River Plate	- (HT -)	Sarmiento Junin
06-04-2025	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025	Sarmiento Junin	1-1 (HT 1-1)	River Plate
28-07-2024	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2024	River Plate	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Sarmiento Junin
20-03-2023	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2023	Sarmiento Junin	0-2 (HT 0-1)	River Plate

Competition		Date
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		12-10-2025
River Plate	- (HT -)	Sarmiento Junin
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		06-04-2025
Sarmiento Junin	1-1 (HT 1-1)	River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		28-07-2024
River Plate	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Sarmiento Junin
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		20-03-2023
Sarmiento Junin	0-2 (HT 0-1)	River Plate

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