San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

0.94
W D L D W L

SCHEDULED -

0.63

L W W L D W

Kick Off: 16-11-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

San Lorenzo and Sarmiento Junin face each other in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match on Sunday 16th of November 2025. The two teams have met 3 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches San Lorenzo have scored an average of 0.93 goals and conceded average of 0.93 goals while Sarmiento Junin scored 0.59 goals and conceded 1.21 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento Junin is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 79.28%

Head to Head Record - San Lorenzo vs. Sarmiento Junin

Date	Competition	Match
16-11-2025	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025	San Lorenzo	- (HT -)	Sarmiento Junin
03-05-2025	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2025	Sarmiento Junin	1-1 (HT 1-0)	San Lorenzo
04-06-2024	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2024	San Lorenzo	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Sarmiento Junin
20-02-2023	Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina 2023	Sarmiento Junin	0-1 (HT 0-0)	San Lorenzo

Competition		Date
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		16-11-2025
San Lorenzo	- (HT -)	Sarmiento Junin
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		03-05-2025
Sarmiento Junin	1-1 (HT 1-0)	San Lorenzo
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		04-06-2024
San Lorenzo	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Sarmiento Junin
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina		20-02-2023
Sarmiento Junin	0-1 (HT 0-0)	San Lorenzo

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