Football Prediction: Genk vs Dender | Belgium Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs Dender

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Luminus Arena

2.79
D L W W L L

SCHEDULED -

0.82

D D D D W L

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Genk and Dender face each other in the Belgium Jupiler Pro League match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Genk have scored an average of 1.93 goals and conceded average of 1.93 goals while Dender scored 1.38 goals and conceded 2.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Genk vs Dender is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69.82%

Head to Head Record - Genk vs. Dender

Date	Competition	Match
31-01-2026	Belgium Jupiler Pro League 2025	Dender	- (HT -)	Genk
04-10-2025	Belgium Jupiler Pro League 2025	Genk	- (HT -)	Dender
08-03-2025	Belgium Jupiler Pro League 2024	Dender	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Genk
22-09-2024	Belgium Jupiler Pro League 2024	Genk	4-0 (HT 1-0)	Dender

Competition		Date
Belgium Jupiler Pro League		31-01-2026
Dender	- (HT -)	Genk
Belgium Jupiler Pro League		04-10-2025
Genk	- (HT -)	Dender
Belgium Jupiler Pro League		08-03-2025
Dender	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Genk
Belgium Jupiler Pro League		22-09-2024
Genk	4-0 (HT 1-0)	Dender