Football Prediction: Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC

Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena MRV

1.55
W D W L L D

Full Time 1-1

1.25

D W W W W L

Kick Off: 23-06-2024 21:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Sunday 23rd of June 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.75 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.25 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Atletico-MG have scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded average of 1.80 goals while Fortaleza EC scored 0.90 goals and conceded 1.10 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.05%

Head to Head Record - Atletico-MG vs. Fortaleza EC

Date	Competition	Match
20-10-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Fortaleza EC	- (HT -)	Atletico-MG
23-06-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Atletico-MG	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Fortaleza EC
02-11-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Atletico-MG	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Fortaleza EC
24-06-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Fortaleza EC	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
24-10-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Fortaleza EC	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
26-06-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Atletico-MG	3-2 (HT 0-2)	Fortaleza EC

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		20-10-2024
Fortaleza EC	- (HT -)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		23-06-2024
Atletico-MG	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		02-11-2023
Atletico-MG	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		24-06-2023
Fortaleza EC	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		24-10-2022
Fortaleza EC	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		26-06-2022
Atletico-MG	3-2 (HT 0-2)	Fortaleza EC