Football Prediction: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo

Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena MRV

1.39
D W D L W W

Full Time 2-1

1.58

W L W D L D

Kick Off: 12-07-2024 00:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Friday 12th of July 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.75 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Atletico-MG have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Sao Paulo scored 1.67 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.06%

Head to Head Record - Atletico-MG vs. Sao Paulo

Date	Competition	Match
24-11-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Atletico-MG
12-07-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Atletico-MG	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Sao Paulo
03-12-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Atletico-MG	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
06-08-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Sao Paulo	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Atletico-MG
02-11-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Sao Paulo	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Atletico-MG
10-07-2022	Brazil Serie A 2022	Atletico-MG	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		24-11-2024
Sao Paulo	- (HT -)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		12-07-2024
Atletico-MG	2-1 (HT 2-1)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		03-12-2023
Atletico-MG	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A		06-08-2023
Sao Paulo	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		02-11-2022
Sao Paulo	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		10-07-2022
Atletico-MG	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Sao Paulo