Football Prediction: Bahia vs Atletico-MG

Bahia vs Atletico-MG

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Arena Fonte Nova

1.17
D L W L W L

Full Time 3-0

0.89

W D W D L W

Kick Off: 15-09-2024 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Bahia and Atletico-MG face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Sunday 15th of September 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bahia have scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded average of 1.00 goals while Atletico-MG scored 1.00 goals and conceded 0.83 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bahia vs Atletico-MG is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.16%

Head to Head Record - Bahia vs. Atletico-MG

Date	Competition	Match
15-09-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Bahia	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
02-06-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Atletico-MG	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
07-12-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Bahia	4-1 (HT 2-1)	Atletico-MG
13-08-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Atletico-MG	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		15-09-2024
Bahia	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		02-06-2024
Atletico-MG	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Bahia
Brazil Serie A		07-12-2023
Bahia	4-1 (HT 2-1)	Atletico-MG
Brazil Serie A		13-08-2023
Atletico-MG	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bahia