Football Prediction: Fortaleza EC vs Vasco DA Gama

Fortaleza EC vs Vasco DA Gama

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

1.64
W L L D D W

Full Time 3-0

0.53

W W D L L L

Kick Off: 09-11-2024 23:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Fortaleza EC and Vasco DA Gama face each other in the Brazil Serie A match on Saturday 9th of November 2024. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Fortaleza EC have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Vasco DA Gama scored 0.81 goals and conceded 1.46 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Fortaleza EC vs Vasco DA Gama is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 63.07%

Head to Head Record - Fortaleza EC vs. Vasco DA Gama

Date	Competition	Match
09-11-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Fortaleza EC	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Vasco DA Gama
04-07-2024	Brazil Serie A 2024	Vasco DA Gama	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Fortaleza EC
19-10-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Vasco DA Gama	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC
27-05-2023	Brazil Serie A 2023	Fortaleza EC	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Vasco DA Gama

Competition		Date
Brazil Serie A		09-11-2024
Fortaleza EC	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Vasco DA Gama
Brazil Serie A		04-07-2024
Vasco DA Gama	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		19-10-2023
Vasco DA Gama	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Fortaleza EC
Brazil Serie A		27-05-2023
Fortaleza EC	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Vasco DA Gama